OPSource PredictabilityScore: 85/100
CoinGape and AMBCrypto Show Near-Perfect Lead for OP Price
Published May 23, 2026Last run: May 23, 2026
Overview
Source predictability analysis for Optimism (OP) over 90 days, revealing exceptionally strong oracle sources.Methodology
Standard source predictability with min_quality=0.6. Only 6 sources had sufficient articles, suggesting OP is covered by a concentrated media set.Key Findings
CoinGape and AMBCrypto show near-perfect correlation (r≈1.000) at +23-24h lead time, acting as strong price oracles. Crypto news also shows r=1.000 with +24h lead.Limitations
Very small source pool (6 sources) limits statistical robustness. Perfect r=1.000 values suggest high volatility in the correlation window.Input Parameters
SymbolOP
Asset Typecrypto
Days Back90
Min Quality0.6
Lag Range-24h to 24h
Min Samples30
Results
Total Sources
6
Analyzed sources
Best Predictor
CoinGape
r = -1.000
Best Lead Time
+23h
Ahead of price
Top 3 Predictive Sources
🥇#1
CoinGape
Correlation:-1.000
Time Lag:+23h
Articles:33
Leads
Excellent🥈#2
AMBCrypto
Correlation:-1.000
Time Lag:+24h
Articles:27
Leads
Excellent🥉#3
Crypto news
Correlation:1.000
Time Lag:+24h
Articles:35
Leads
ExcellentComplete Leaderboard
| Rank | Source | Correlation | Time Lag | Articles | Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #4 | Bitcoin.com | 0.990 | -24h | 28 | Follows |
| #5 | Blockonomi | 0.712 | +22h | 52 | Leads |
| #6 | Bitcoinist | 0.507 | +24h | 27 | Leads |
Key Insights
- Leading Sources: 5 sources lead price movements
- Following Sources: 1 sources react to price
- Strong Predictors: 6 sources with r > 0.5
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